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Rutherford, NC · ZIP 28139 · Census Tract 37161960400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$278K
Downside (P10)
$220K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$288K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$458K
+65% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +65%. The model forecasts this with 55% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $126K | $138K | $145K | $173K | $174K | $193K | $201K | $229K | $234K | $268K | $278K | $284K | $286K | $288K |
| YoY Change | +9.6% | +5.1% | +19.4% | +0.9% | +10.6% | +4.6% | +13.7% | +2.3% | +14.3% | +3.8% | +2.2% | +0.8% | +0.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $236K | $233K | $220K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $344K | $391K | $458K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$236K to $344K
38.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$220K to $458K
82.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union | $275K | $288K | +5.1% | |
| Golden Valley area | $218K | $245K | +12.5% | |
| Morgan area | $227K | $255K | +12.4% | |
| Rutherfordton (Tract 960503) | $228K | $254K | +11.5% | |
| Rutherfordton (Tract 960502) | $223K | $238K | +6.5% | |
| Green Hill | $254K | $269K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union | $275K | $288K | +5.1% | |
| Sulphur Springs | $188K | $214K | +13.8% | |
| Chimney Rock | $445K | $502K | +12.8% | |
| Golden Valley area | $218K | $245K | +12.5% | |
| Morgan area | $227K | $255K | +12.4% | |
| Rutherfordton | $228K | $254K | +11.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union | $275K | $288K | $238K | |
| Cool Spring (Tract 960900) | $183K | $196K | $96K | |
| Cool Spring (Tract 960800) | $154K | $167K | $72K | |
| Rutherfordton | $159K | $170K | $72K | |
| Logan Store | $125K | $132K | $59K | |
| High Shoals | $115K | $124K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.