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Scotland, NC · Census Tract 37165840000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$582K
Downside (P10)
$282K
-52% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$597K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.03M
+78% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -52% to +78%. The model forecasts this with 31% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $582K | $615K | $594K | $565K | $597K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$33,652 | +$12,652 | -$16,624 | +$15,087 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +5.8% | +2.2% | -2.9% | +2.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $401K | $326K | $298K | $282K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $854K | $909K | $956K | $1.0M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$401K to $854K
73.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$282K to $1.0M
125.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840000 | $582K | $597K | +2.6% | |
| Scotland (Tract 400000) | $629K | $857K | +36.2% | |
| Scotland (Tract 860006) | $444K | $600K | +35.0% | |
| Scotland (Tract 440002) | $476K | $610K | +28.2% | |
| Scotland (Tract 240008) | $479K | $574K | +19.9% | |
| Scotland (Tract 800008) | $467K | $537K | +15.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840000 | $582K | $597K | +2.6% | |
| Scotland (Tract 480004) | $227K | $313K | +37.6% | |
| Scotland (Tract 400000) | $629K | $857K | +36.2% | |
| Scotland (Tract 860006) | $444K | $600K | +35.0% | |
| Scotland (Tract 600004) | $430K | $560K | +30.1% | |
| Scotland (Tract 160007) | $431K | $560K | +30.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840000 | $582K | $597K | $752K | |
| Spring Hill | $90K | $96K | $44K | |
| Spring Hill area | $164K | $165K | $42K | |
| Stewartsville (Tract 010101) | $162K | $159K | $38K | |
| Stewartsville (Tract 010300) | $93K | $94K | $21K | |
| Stewartsville area | $83K | $83K | $20K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Scotland, NC · Census Tract 37165840000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$582K
Downside (P10)
$282K
-52% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$597K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.03M
+78% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -52% to +78%. The model forecasts this with 31% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $582K | $615K | $594K | $565K | $597K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$33,652 | +$12,652 | -$16,624 | +$15,087 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +5.8% | +2.2% | -2.9% | +2.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $401K | $326K | $298K | $282K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $854K | $909K | $956K | $1.0M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$401K to $854K
73.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$282K to $1.0M
125.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840000 | $582K | $597K | +2.6% | |
| Scotland (Tract 400000) | $629K | $857K | +36.2% | |
| Scotland (Tract 860006) | $444K | $600K | +35.0% | |
| Scotland (Tract 440002) | $476K | $610K | +28.2% | |
| Scotland (Tract 240008) | $479K | $574K | +19.9% | |
| Scotland (Tract 800008) | $467K | $537K | +15.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840000 | $582K | $597K | +2.6% | |
| Scotland (Tract 480004) | $227K | $313K | +37.6% | |
| Scotland (Tract 400000) | $629K | $857K | +36.2% | |
| Scotland (Tract 860006) | $444K | $600K | +35.0% | |
| Scotland (Tract 600004) | $430K | $560K | +30.1% | |
| Scotland (Tract 160007) | $431K | $560K | +30.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840000 | $582K | $597K | $752K | |
| Spring Hill | $90K | $96K | $44K | |
| Spring Hill area | $164K | $165K | $42K | |
| Stewartsville (Tract 010101) | $162K | $159K | $38K | |
| Stewartsville (Tract 010300) | $93K | $94K | $21K | |
| Stewartsville area | $83K | $83K | $20K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
