What is the home price forecast for Parcel 37175960601 in Hogback?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $631,040 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 37175960601 in Hogback?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $631,040 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.5%.

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Parcel 37175960601 (Hogback) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 37175960601, Hogback Home Price Forecast

Transylvania, NC · ZIP 28774 · Census Tract 37175960601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$631K

Downside (P10)

$514K

-19% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$697K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$861K

+37% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$171K	$173K	$302K	$458K	$593K	$631K	$644K	$669K	$697K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$460,140	-$458,540	-$329,340	-$172,840	-$37,940		+$12,869	+$38,388	+$66,167
Growth % vs 2026	-72.9%	-72.7%	-52.2%	-27.4%	-6.0%		+2.0%	+6.1%	+10.5%
Downside (P10)							$536K	$500K	$514K
Upside (P90)							$788K	$843K	$861K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$536K to $788K

39.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$514K to $861K

49.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.5% · Spread: 50%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 37175960601, Hogback on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).