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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 38102, ND · Census Tract 38102400004 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$979K
Downside (P10)
$402K
-59% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$835K
-15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.31M
+34% by 2030
Base case: -15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -59% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 40% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $979K | $993K | $905K | $866K | $835K |
| YoY Change | +1.5% | -8.9% | -4.3% | -3.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $538K | $426K | $396K | $402K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$538K to $1.29M
76.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$402K to $1.31M
108.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400004 | $979K | $835K | -14.7% | |
| Manning area | $978K | $1.38M | +40.8% | |
| Tract 040008 | $979K | $856K | -12.6% | |
| Tract 680007 | $978K | $850K | -13.1% | |
| Tract 320009 | $980K | $844K | -13.8% | |
| Tract 920007 | $976K | $839K | -14.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400004 | $979K | $835K | -14.7% | |
| Tract 440005 | $119K | $249K | +109.2% | |
| Tract 320005 | $57K | $93K | +63.9% | |
| Tract 520008 | $320K | $517K | +61.7% | |
| Tract 600002 | $241K | $389K | +61.4% | |
| Tract 400107 | $86K | $138K | +59.3% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources