County 38453, ND · Census Tract 38453241006 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.45M
Downside (P10)
$1.68M
-31% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.05M
-16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.49M
+2% by 2030
Base case: -16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -31% to +2%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 38453 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.4M | $2.5M | $2.3M | $2.1M | $2.1M |
| YoY Change | +3.8% | -9.8% | -10.2% | -0.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.2M | $1.9M | $1.7M | $1.7M | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.8M | $2.7M | $2.4M | $2.5M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$2.25M to $2.60M
14.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.68M to $2.49M
39.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 600003 | $2.30M | $1.89M | -17.9% |
| Tract 200102 | $2.29M | $1.72M | -25.0% |
| Tract 560004 | $2.72M | $1.87M | -31.3% |
| Tract 760008 | $2.06M | $1.66M | -19.4% |
| Tract 240007 | $2.01M | $1.60M | -20.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 600003 | $2.30M | $1.89M | -17.9% |
| Tract 760008 | $2.06M | $1.66M | -19.4% |
| Tract 240007 | $2.01M | $1.60M | -20.4% |
| Tract 320008 | $1.58M | $1.25M | -20.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 600003 | $2.30M | $1.89M | $720K |
| Tract 200102 | $2.29M | $1.72M | $959K |
| Tract 240007 | $2.01M | $1.60M | $973K |
| Tract 200005 | $1.72M | $1.19M | $1.05M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources