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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 38283, ND · Census Tract 38283720001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.15M
Downside (P10)
$537K
-53% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$972K
-15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.47M
+28% by 2030
Base case: -15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -53% to +28%. The model forecasts this with 47% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.1M | $976K | $972K |
| YoY Change | +3.3% | -10.6% | -8.0% | -0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $794K | $627K | $519K | $537K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.5M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$794K to $1.48M
57.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$537K to $1.47M
96.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 720001 | $1.15M | $972K | -15.4% | |
| Tract 640000 | $932K | $908K | -2.6% | |
| Tract 400004 | $1.01M | $916K | -8.8% | |
| Tract 840004 | $991K | $897K | -9.5% | |
| Tract 160001 | $1.02M | $846K | -16.9% | |
| Tract 440006 | $1.30M | $901K | -30.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 720001 | $1.15M | $972K | -15.4% | |
| Tract 640000 | $932K | $908K | -2.6% | |
| Tract 400004 | $1.01M | $916K | -8.8% | |
| Tract 840004 | $991K | $897K | -9.5% | |
| Tract 160001 | $1.02M | $846K | -16.9% | |
| Tract 440006 | $1.30M | $901K | -30.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 720001 | $1.15M | $972K | $934K | |
| Tract 640000 | $932K | $908K | $1.10M | |
| Tract 840004 | $991K | $897K | $993K | |
| Tract 440006 | $1.30M | $901K | $900K | |
| Tract 160001 | $1.02M | $846K | $899K | |
| Tract 400004 | $1.01M | $916K | $830K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources