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Douglas, NE · ZIP 68164 · Census Tract 31055007433 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$266K
Downside (P10)
$224K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$285K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$367K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $146K | $151K | $164K | $169K | $175K | $183K | $197K | $231K | $247K | $260K | $266K | $275K | $282K | $285K |
| YoY Change | +3.4% | +8.1% | +3.4% | +3.1% | +4.8% | +7.5% | +17.4% | +7.1% | +4.9% | +2.6% | +3.2% | +2.8% | +0.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $230K | $229K | $224K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $321K | $333K | $367K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$230K to $321K
32.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$224K to $367K
50.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omaha · 68164 · (Tract 74.33) | $270K | $285K | +5.4% | |
| Omaha (Tract 007439) | $272K | $302K | +11.2% | |
| Omaha (Tract 007463) | $266K | $291K | +9.5% | |
| Omaha (Tract 005000) | $267K | $292K | +9.4% | |
| Omaha (Tract 007457) | $268K | $289K | +8.1% | |
| Omaha (Tract 007447) | $270K | $282K | +4.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omaha · 68164 · (Tract 74.33) | $270K | $285K | +5.4% | |
| Omaha (Tract 006703) | $317K | $379K | +19.6% | |
| Omaha (Tract 006400) | $178K | $210K | +17.9% | |
| Omaha (Tract 006505) | $236K | $278K | +17.6% | |
| Omaha (Tract 000400) | $104K | $123K | +17.3% | |
| Omaha (Tract 007453) | $308K | $361K | +17.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omaha · 68164 · (Tract 74.33) | $270K | $285K | $143K | |
| Omaha (Tract 001900) | $102K | $114K | $62K | |
| Omaha (Tract 005902) | $109K | $119K | $60K | |
| Omaha (Tract 000800) | $126K | $127K | $58K | |
| Omaha (Tract 000400) | $104K | $123K | $53K | |
| Omaha (Tract 000700) | $82K | $88K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.