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County 34560, NJ · Census Tract 34560000943 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$307K
Downside (P10)
$278K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$423K
+38% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$596K
+94% by 2030
Base case: +38% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +94%. The model forecasts this with 59% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $307K | $354K | $375K | $390K | $423K |
| YoY Change | +15.1% | +5.9% | +4.0% | +8.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $281K | $267K | $267K | $278K | |
| Upside (P90) | $449K | $482K | $527K | $596K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$281K to $449K
47.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$278K to $596K
75.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000943 | $307K | $423K | +37.7% | |
| Tract 000286 | $308K | $448K | +45.5% | |
| Tract 001324 | $309K | $432K | +39.5% | |
| Tract 001667 | $308K | $428K | +39.2% | |
| Tract 000888 | $307K | $424K | +38.4% | |
| Tract 000587 | $307K | $423K | +38.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000943 | $307K | $423K | +37.7% | |
| Tract 000040 | $315K | $505K | +60.2% | |
| Tract 001162 | $286K | $436K | +52.6% | |
| Tract 000367 | $301K | $454K | +50.9% | |
| Tract 000147 | $316K | $472K | +49.4% | |
| Tract 000105 | $299K | $446K | +49.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000943 | $307K | $423K | $318K | |
| Tract 000781 | $276K | $395K | $295K | |
| Tract 000888 | $307K | $424K | $293K | |
| Tract 000448 | $289K | $386K | $288K | |
| Tract 000587 | $307K | $423K | $283K | |
| Tract 001641 | $288K | $410K | $273K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources