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Monmouth, NJ · ZIP 07764 · Census Tract 34025806201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$987K
Downside (P10)
$873K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.10M
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.41M
+43% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $432K | $443K | $448K | $476K | $502K | $497K | $539K | $687K | $725K | $948K | $987K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$554,842 | -$543,842 | -$539,042 | -$511,042 | -$485,042 | -$489,942 | -$447,642 | -$300,042 | -$261,242 | -$39,142 | +$31,790 | +$54,824 | +$111,443 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -56.2% | -55.1% | -54.6% | -51.8% | -49.2% | -49.7% | -45.4% | -30.4% | -26.5% | -4.0% | +3.2% | +5.6% | +11.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $842K | $839K | $873K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$842K to $1.2M
35.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$873K to $1.4M
49.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Long Branch | $972K | $1.10M | +13.0% | |
| Little Silver | $965K | $1.09M | +13.0% | |
| Bradley Beach | $999K | $1.09M | +9.1% | |
| Belmar | $1.02M | $1.09M | +7.5% | |
| Ocean Grove | $984K | $1.06M | +7.4% | |
| Fair Haven | $995K | $1.05M | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Long Branch | $972K | $1.10M | +13.0% | |
| Red Bank (Tract 803400) | $408K | $486K | +19.2% | |
| Red Bank (Tract 803601) | $681K | $811K | +19.1% | |
| Ocean | $743K | $877K | +18.2% | |
| Union Beach | $472K | $556K | +17.6% | |
| Oceanport | $765K | $896K | +17.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Long Branch | $972K | $1.10M | $540K | |
| Howell | $383K | $398K | $202K | |
| Farmingdale | $435K | $477K | $199K | |
| Keansburg (Tract 801600) | $332K | $356K | $180K | |
| Keansburg (Tract 801700) | $296K | $316K | $178K | |
| Asbury Park | $222K | $244K | $100K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Monmouth, NJ · ZIP 07764 · Census Tract 34025806201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$987K
Downside (P10)
$873K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.10M
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.41M
+43% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $432K | $443K | $448K | $476K | $502K | $497K | $539K | $687K | $725K | $948K | $987K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$554,842 | -$543,842 | -$539,042 | -$511,042 | -$485,042 | -$489,942 | -$447,642 | -$300,042 | -$261,242 | -$39,142 | +$31,790 | +$54,824 | +$111,443 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -56.2% | -55.1% | -54.6% | -51.8% | -49.2% | -49.7% | -45.4% | -30.4% | -26.5% | -4.0% | +3.2% | +5.6% | +11.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $842K | $839K | $873K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$842K to $1.2M
35.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$873K to $1.4M
49.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Long Branch | $972K | $1.10M | +13.0% | |
| Little Silver | $965K | $1.09M | +13.0% | |
| Bradley Beach | $999K | $1.09M | +9.1% | |
| Belmar | $1.02M | $1.09M | +7.5% | |
| Ocean Grove | $984K | $1.06M | +7.4% | |
| Fair Haven | $995K | $1.05M | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Long Branch | $972K | $1.10M | +13.0% | |
| Red Bank (Tract 803400) | $408K | $486K | +19.2% | |
| Red Bank (Tract 803601) | $681K | $811K | +19.1% | |
| Ocean | $743K | $877K | +18.2% | |
| Union Beach | $472K | $556K | +17.6% | |
| Oceanport | $765K | $896K | +17.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Long Branch | $972K | $1.10M | $540K | |
| Howell | $383K | $398K | $202K | |
| Farmingdale | $435K | $477K | $199K | |
| Keansburg (Tract 801600) | $332K | $356K | $180K | |
| Keansburg (Tract 801700) | $296K | $316K | $178K | |
| Asbury Park | $222K | $244K | $100K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
