Ocean, NJ · ZIP 08753 · Census Tract 34029723300 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$319K
Downside (P10)
$281K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$336K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$449K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +41%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Ocean markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $244K | $245K | $245K | $249K | $258K | $241K | $255K | $282K | $292K | $321K | $319K | $331K | $332K | $336K |
| YoY Change | +0.3% | +0.0% | +1.8% | +3.3% | -6.6% | +5.9% | +10.7% | +3.5% | +9.8% | -0.5% | +3.8% | +0.3% | +1.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $289K | $286K | $281K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $391K | $433K | $449K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$289K to $391K
30.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$281K to $449K
50.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toms River | $319K | $336K | +5.1% | |
| Brick | $319K | $371K | +16.3% | |
| Berkeley | $319K | $341K | +6.7% | |
| Stafford | $323K | $365K | +12.8% | |
| Barnegat | $325K | $367K | +12.7% | |
| Little Egg Harbor | $312K | $328K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toms River | $319K | $336K | +5.1% | |
| Lacey | $366K | $454K | +24.2% | |
| Pine Ridge at Crestwood | $138K | $165K | +18.9% | |
| Beachwood | $365K | $428K | +17.2% | |
| Leisure Village East | $502K | $584K | +16.3% | |
| Brick | $319K | $371K | +16.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toms River | $319K | $336K | $168K | |
| Crestwood Village | $113K | $115K | $51K | |
| Crestwood Village | $89K | $92K | $53K | |
| Manchester area | $111K | $118K | $54K | |
| Manchester | $99K | $101K | $58K | |
| Pine Ridge at Crestwood | $138K | $165K | $96K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.