Somerset, NJ · ZIP 07920 · Census Tract 34035052605 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$925K
Downside (P10)
$758K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.01M
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.39M
+50% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +50%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Somerset markets.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $792K | $738K | $844K | $895K | $921K | $925K | $919K | $955K | $1.0M |
| YoY Change | -6.8% | +14.4% | +6.0% | +2.9% | +0.4% | -0.6% | +3.9% | +5.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $785K | $789K | $758K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$785K to $1.14M
38.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$758K to $1.39M
62.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernards · Basking Ridge · (Tract 526.5) | $915K | $1.01M | +9.9% | |
| Bernards | $928K | $989K | +6.6% | |
| Bedminster | $933K | $1.02M | +9.1% | |
| Peapack and Gladstone | $897K | $1.02M | +13.5% | |
| Watchung | $892K | $1.00M | +12.4% | |
| Martinsville | $891K | $899K | +1.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernards · Basking Ridge · (Tract 526.5) | $915K | $1.01M | +9.9% | |
| North Plainfield | $387K | $453K | +17.1% | |
| Hillsborough | $563K | $654K | +16.1% | |
| Bernardsville | $777K | $897K | +15.5% | |
| Somerset | $409K | $469K | +14.7% | |
| Montgomery | $775K | $888K | +14.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernards · Basking Ridge · (Tract 526.5) | $915K | $1.01M | $630K | |
| North Plainfield | $352K | $400K | $158K | |
| Franklin Park | $272K | $303K | $169K | |
| North Plainfield | $297K | $329K | $170K | |
| Hillsborough | $340K | $376K | $178K | |
| Manville | $338K | $370K | $182K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.