Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
Bernalillo, NM · ZIP 87110 · Census Tract 35001000203 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$310K
Downside (P10)
$286K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$365K
+18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$473K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $208K | $218K | $215K | $218K | $222K | $227K | $244K | $265K | $283K | $297K | $310K | $319K | $342K | $365K | $311K |
| YoY Change | +4.6% | -1.1% | +1.3% | +1.7% | +2.5% | +7.2% | +8.7% | +6.8% | +5.0% | +4.4% | +2.9% | +7.3% | +6.7% | -14.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $280K | $280K | $286K | $273K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $375K | $418K | $473K | $348K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$280K to $375K
29.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$273K to $348K
24.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albuquerque | $305K | $365K | +19.5% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 004724) | $310K | $347K | +12.1% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 004755) | $311K | $339K | +9.3% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 004800) | $309K | $318K | +2.8% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000117) | $308K | $346K | +12.2% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 004728) | $308K | $317K | +2.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albuquerque | $305K | $365K | +19.5% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 004761) | $246K | $297K | +20.5% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000504) | $373K | $447K | +19.7% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 001201) | $271K | $319K | +17.9% | |
| South Valley | $234K | $276K | +17.8% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000503) | $312K | $366K | +17.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albuquerque | $305K | $365K | $187K | |
| West Bernalillo | $100K | $108K | $65K | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 003723) | $141K | $149K | $67K | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000907) | $120K | $132K | $76K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.