County 35093, NM · Census Tract 35093440008 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$264K
Downside (P10)
$244K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$365K
+38% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$568K
+115% by 2030
Base case: +38% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +115%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 35093 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $264K | $300K | $318K | $344K | $365K |
| YoY Change | +13.4% | +5.9% | +8.2% | +6.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $237K | $233K | $232K | $244K | |
| Upside (P90) | $389K | $451K | $496K | $568K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$231K to $315K
31.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$244K to $568K
88.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680004 | $265K | $397K | +49.7% |
| Tract 640002 | $266K | $363K | +36.4% |
| Tract 240004 | $266K | $390K | +46.6% |
| Tract 000008 | $267K | $374K | +40.3% |
| Tract 160003 | $261K | $376K | +44.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680004 | $265K | $397K | +49.7% |
| Tract 240004 | $266K | $390K | +46.6% |
| Tract 160003 | $261K | $376K | +44.1% |
| Tract 840006 | $268K | $386K | +43.8% |
| Tract 000008 | $267K | $374K | +40.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160003 | $261K | $376K | $292K |
| Tract 640002 | $266K | $363K | $309K |
| Tract 240004 | $266K | $390K | $334K |
| Tract 000008 | $267K | $374K | $344K |
| Tract 840006 | $268K | $386K | $374K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources