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County 35092, NM · Census Tract 35092000009 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$298K
Downside (P10)
$261K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$388K
+30% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$610K
+105% by 2030
Base case: +30% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +105%. The model forecasts this with 50% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $298K | $320K | $338K | $359K | $388K |
| YoY Change | +7.4% | +5.5% | +6.1% | +8.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $260K | $252K | $251K | $261K | |
| Upside (P90) | $439K | $474K | $540K | $610K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$260K to $439K
55.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$261K to $610K
90.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000009 | $298K | $388K | +30.1% | |
| Tract 960000 | $258K | $403K | +56.4% | |
| Tract 160004 | $235K | $342K | +45.7% | |
| Tract 560002 | $230K | $323K | +40.2% | |
| Tract 680005 | $263K | $364K | +38.6% | |
| Tract 880009 | $259K | $355K | +37.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000009 | $298K | $388K | +30.1% | |
| Tract 040001 | $207K | $326K | +57.3% | |
| Tract 960000 | $258K | $403K | +56.4% | |
| Tract 240005 | $225K | $346K | +53.8% | |
| Tract 160004 | $235K | $342K | +45.7% | |
| Tract 520000 | $228K | $329K | +44.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000009 | $298K | $388K | $349K | |
| Tract 520000 | $228K | $329K | $321K | |
| Tract 680005 | $263K | $364K | $317K | |
| Tract 040001 | $207K | $326K | $309K | |
| Tract 560002 | $230K | $323K | $280K | |
| Tract 080003 | $207K | $279K | $228K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources