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County 35093, NM · Census Tract 35093840006 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$268K
Downside (P10)
$243K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$386K
+44% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$618K
+130% by 2030
Base case: +44% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +130%. The model forecasts this with 47% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $268K | $313K | $333K | $355K | $386K |
| YoY Change | +16.8% | +6.2% | +6.8% | +8.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $244K | $245K | $242K | $243K | |
| Upside (P90) | $401K | $459K | $512K | $618K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$244K to $401K
49.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$243K to $618K
97.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840006 | $268K | $386K | +43.8% | |
| Tract 680004 | $265K | $397K | +49.7% | |
| Tract 240004 | $266K | $390K | +46.6% | |
| Tract 000008 | $267K | $374K | +40.3% | |
| Tract 440008 | $264K | $365K | +37.9% | |
| Tract 640002 | $266K | $363K | +36.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840006 | $268K | $386K | +43.8% | |
| Tract 680004 | $265K | $397K | +49.7% | |
| Tract 240004 | $266K | $390K | +46.6% | |
| Tract 160003 | $261K | $376K | +44.1% | |
| Tract 000008 | $267K | $374K | +40.3% | |
| Tract 440008 | $264K | $365K | +37.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840006 | $268K | $386K | $374K | |
| Tract 000008 | $267K | $374K | $344K | |
| Tract 240004 | $266K | $390K | $334K | |
| Tract 440008 | $264K | $365K | $324K | |
| Tract 640002 | $266K | $363K | $309K | |
| Tract 160003 | $261K | $376K | $292K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources