County 35565, NM · Census Tract 35565500201 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$305K
Downside (P10)
$273K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$421K
+38% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$645K
+112% by 2030
Base case: +38% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +112%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 35565 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $305K | $347K | $370K | $382K | $421K |
| YoY Change | +13.8% | +6.7% | +3.4% | +10.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $276K | $261K | $258K | $273K | |
| Upside (P90) | $445K | $495K | $552K | $645K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$260K to $368K
35.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$273K to $645K
88.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 502209 | $305K | $423K | +38.6% |
| Tract 502322 | $304K | $406K | +33.5% |
| Tract 500065 | $304K | $431K | +41.9% |
| Tract 000028 | $303K | $422K | +39.1% |
| Tract 501446 | $302K | $436K | +44.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 502063 | $287K | $417K | +45.3% |
| Tract 000468 | $258K | $375K | +45.3% |
| Tract 000442 | $255K | $370K | +44.9% |
| Tract 501446 | $302K | $436K | +44.4% |
| Tract 501682 | $291K | $420K | +44.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 501048 | $258K | $352K | $272K |
| Tract 000468 | $258K | $375K | $280K |
| Tract 500405 | $258K | $353K | $284K |
| Tract 502005 | $308K | $418K | $292K |
| Tract 000044 | $286K | $413K | $317K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources