County 35460, NM · Census Tract 35460001067 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$357K
Downside (P10)
$312K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$502K
+40% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$767K
+115% by 2030
Base case: +40% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +115%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 35460 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $357K | $399K | $410K | $438K | $502K |
| YoY Change | +11.7% | +2.6% | +6.8% | +14.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $293K | $292K | $302K | $312K | |
| Upside (P90) | $552K | $610K | $647K | $767K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$303K to $448K
40.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$312K to $767K
90.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001122 | $357K | $479K | +34.0% |
| Tract 000301 | $354K | $484K | +36.5% |
| Tract 000725 | $372K | $503K | +35.2% |
| Tract 000864 | $372K | $519K | +39.5% |
| Tract 000288 | $342K | $519K | +51.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000288 | $342K | $519K | +51.5% |
| Tract 001164 | $391K | $556K | +42.1% |
| Tract 000864 | $372K | $519K | +39.5% |
| Tract 000929 | $384K | $535K | +39.4% |
| Tract 000521 | $388K | $534K | +37.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000864 | $372K | $519K | $427K |
| Tract 000288 | $342K | $519K | $437K |
| Tract 000301 | $354K | $484K | $441K |
| Tract 001148 | $388K | $484K | $458K |
| Tract 001122 | $357K | $479K | $462K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources