County 35570, NM · Census Tract 35570002820 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$442K
Downside (P10)
$359K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$576K
+30% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$850K
+92% by 2030
Base case: +30% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +92%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 35570 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $442K | $519K | $523K | $523K | $576K |
| YoY Change | +17.3% | +0.8% | -0.0% | +10.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $376K | $366K | $340K | $359K | |
| Upside (P90) | $707K | $728K | $759K | $850K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$374K to $558K
41.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$359K to $850K
85.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002163 | $442K | $543K | +22.9% |
| Tract 002985 | $444K | $534K | +20.3% |
| Tract 002684 | $445K | $569K | +27.8% |
| Tract 002888 | $437K | $593K | +35.5% |
| Tract 002804 | $450K | $614K | +36.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000686 | $298K | $448K | +50.2% |
| Tract 001407 | $306K | $451K | +47.4% |
| Tract 001203 | $323K | $472K | +46.2% |
| Tract 001164 | $302K | $438K | +45.0% |
| Tract 000204 | $368K | $524K | +42.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001368 | $318K | $415K | $295K |
| Tract 001203 | $323K | $472K | $319K |
| Tract 000246 | $334K | $418K | $323K |
| Tract 001164 | $302K | $438K | $326K |
| Tract 001407 | $306K | $451K | $328K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources