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County 35570, NM · Census Tract 35570002888 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$437K
Downside (P10)
$360K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$593K
+35% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$950K
+117% by 2030
Base case: +35% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +117%. The model forecasts this with 45% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $437K | $478K | $492K | $519K | $593K |
| YoY Change | +9.3% | +2.9% | +5.6% | +14.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $356K | $324K | $328K | $360K | |
| Upside (P90) | $639K | $680K | $787K | $950K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$356K to $639K
59.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$360K to $950K
99.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002888 | $437K | $593K | +35.5% | |
| Tract 002260 | $426K | $561K | +31.8% | |
| Tract 002820 | $442K | $576K | +30.1% | |
| Tract 002684 | $445K | $569K | +27.8% | |
| Tract 002163 | $442K | $543K | +22.9% | |
| Tract 002985 | $444K | $534K | +20.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002888 | $437K | $593K | +35.5% | |
| Tract 000686 | $298K | $448K | +50.2% | |
| Tract 001407 | $306K | $451K | +47.4% | |
| Tract 001203 | $323K | $472K | +46.2% | |
| Tract 001164 | $302K | $438K | +45.0% | |
| Tract 000204 | $368K | $524K | +42.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002888 | $437K | $593K | $590K | |
| Tract 001407 | $306K | $451K | $328K | |
| Tract 001164 | $302K | $438K | $326K | |
| Tract 000246 | $334K | $418K | $323K | |
| Tract 001203 | $323K | $472K | $319K | |
| Tract 001368 | $318K | $415K | $295K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources