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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 35580, NM · Census Tract 35580000825 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$800K
Downside (P10)
$371K
-54% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$752K
-6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.24M
+54% by 2030
Base case: -6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -54% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 37% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $800K | $847K | $765K | $702K | $752K |
| YoY Change | +5.9% | -9.7% | -8.2% | +7.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $510K | $428K | $375K | $371K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$510K to $1.22M
83.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$371K to $1.24M
115.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000825 | $800K | $752K | -6.0% | |
| Tract 000948 | $842K | $787K | -6.5% | |
| Tract 000566 | $775K | $680K | -12.3% | |
| Tract 001426 | $846K | $722K | -14.6% | |
| Tract 000281 | $738K | $595K | -19.4% | |
| Tract 000184 | $859K | $655K | -23.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000825 | $800K | $752K | -6.0% | |
| Tract 000126 | $178K | $228K | +28.7% | |
| Tract 000508 | $245K | $307K | +25.2% | |
| Tract 000647 | $415K | $515K | +24.1% | |
| Tract 000362 | $232K | $280K | +20.3% | |
| Tract 001060 | $451K | $542K | +20.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000825 | $800K | $752K | $865K | |
| Tract 000566 | $775K | $680K | $757K | |
| Tract 001400 | $474K | $481K | $687K | |
| Tract 000508 | $245K | $307K | $575K | |
| Tract 000362 | $232K | $280K | $482K | |
| Tract 000126 | $178K | $228K | $412K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources