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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 35645, NM · Census Tract 35645800009 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$411K
Downside (P10)
$397K
-3% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$593K
+45% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$880K
+114% by 2030
Base case: +45% by 2030, with a forecast range from -3% to +114%. The model forecasts this with 55% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $411K | $464K | $504K | $547K | $593K |
| YoY Change | +13.1% | +8.5% | +8.6% | +8.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $362K | $349K | $367K | $397K | |
| Upside (P90) | $625K | $716K | $789K | $880K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$362K to $625K
56.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$397K to $880K
81.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800009 | $411K | $593K | +44.5% | |
| Tract 960004 | $396K | $593K | +49.7% | |
| Tract 320000 | $417K | $621K | +49.0% | |
| Tract 760000 | $399K | $589K | +47.5% | |
| Tract 920002 | $432K | $633K | +46.5% | |
| Tract 720008 | $379K | $547K | +44.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800009 | $411K | $593K | +44.5% | |
| Tract 280001 | $378K | $574K | +51.9% | |
| Tract 960004 | $396K | $593K | +49.7% | |
| Tract 320000 | $417K | $621K | +49.0% | |
| Tract 760000 | $399K | $589K | +47.5% | |
| Tract 920002 | $432K | $633K | +46.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800009 | $411K | $593K | $482K | |
| Tract 920002 | $432K | $633K | $602K | |
| Tract 720008 | $379K | $547K | $542K | |
| Tract 760000 | $399K | $589K | $505K | |
| Tract 320000 | $417K | $621K | $472K | |
| Tract 280001 | $378K | $574K | $456K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources