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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 35744, NM · Census Tract 35744280009 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$617K
Downside (P10)
$434K
-30% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$745K
+21% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.31M
+112% by 2030
Base case: +21% by 2030, with a forecast range from -30% to +112%. The model forecasts this with 36% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $617K | $674K | $691K | $701K | $745K |
| YoY Change | +9.1% | +2.6% | +1.5% | +6.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $501K | $432K | $426K | $434K | |
| Upside (P90) | $893K | $981K | $1.1M | $1.3M |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$501K to $893K
58.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$434K to $1.31M
117.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280009 | $617K | $745K | +20.7% | |
| Tract 400009 | $456K | $679K | +48.8% | |
| Tract 960002 | $470K | $648K | +37.7% | |
| Tract 440001 | $455K | $626K | +37.5% | |
| Tract 680007 | $453K | $608K | +34.3% | |
| Tract 200005 | $671K | $891K | +32.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280009 | $617K | $745K | +20.7% | |
| Tract 400009 | $456K | $679K | +48.8% | |
| Tract 640005 | $413K | $589K | +42.6% | |
| Tract 000001 | $414K | $574K | +38.5% | |
| Tract 960002 | $470K | $648K | +37.7% | |
| Tract 440001 | $455K | $626K | +37.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280009 | $617K | $745K | $872K | |
| Tract 400009 | $456K | $679K | $512K | |
| Tract 680007 | $453K | $608K | $508K | |
| Tract 440001 | $455K | $626K | $504K | |
| Tract 000001 | $414K | $574K | $460K | |
| Tract 640005 | $413K | $589K | $444K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources