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County 35093, NM · Census Tract 35093160003 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$261K
Downside (P10)
$247K
-6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$376K
+44% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$539K
+106% by 2030
Base case: +44% by 2030, with a forecast range from -6% to +106%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $261K | $291K | $312K | $352K | $376K |
| YoY Change | +11.4% | +7.4% | +12.8% | +6.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $226K | $231K | $229K | $247K | |
| Upside (P90) | $396K | $425K | $468K | $539K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$226K to $396K
58.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$247K to $539K
77.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160003 | $261K | $376K | +44.1% | |
| Tract 680004 | $265K | $397K | +49.7% | |
| Tract 240004 | $266K | $390K | +46.6% | |
| Tract 000008 | $267K | $374K | +40.3% | |
| Tract 440008 | $264K | $365K | +37.9% | |
| Tract 640002 | $266K | $363K | +36.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160003 | $261K | $376K | +44.1% | |
| Tract 680004 | $265K | $397K | +49.7% | |
| Tract 240004 | $266K | $390K | +46.6% | |
| Tract 840006 | $268K | $386K | +43.8% | |
| Tract 000008 | $267K | $374K | +40.3% | |
| Tract 440008 | $264K | $365K | +37.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160003 | $261K | $376K | $292K | |
| Tract 840006 | $268K | $386K | $374K | |
| Tract 000008 | $267K | $374K | $344K | |
| Tract 240004 | $266K | $390K | $334K | |
| Tract 440008 | $264K | $365K | $324K | |
| Tract 640002 | $266K | $363K | $309K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources