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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Doña Ana, NM · ZIP 88001 · Census Tract 35013000700 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$159K
Downside (P10)
$143K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$175K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$233K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $97K | $96K | $99K | $97K | $103K | $105K | $107K | $126K | $148K | $154K | $159K | $163K | $172K | $175K | $160K |
| YoY Change | -1.1% | +2.8% | -1.8% | +6.5% | +1.6% | +1.8% | +18.3% | +17.5% | +4.0% | +2.9% | +3.0% | +5.2% | +2.1% | -8.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $142K | $145K | $143K | $141K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $201K | $211K | $233K | $182K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$142K to $201K
36.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$141K to $182K
25.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Cruces · 88001 · (Tract 7) | $157K | $175K | +11.4% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 000500) | $157K | $176K | +12.7% | |
| Doña Ana-Hill | $163K | $177K | +8.1% | |
| Chaparral | $157K | $168K | +7.0% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 000401) | $162K | $173K | +6.6% | |
| Anthony | $157K | $166K | +5.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Cruces · 88001 · (Tract 7) | $157K | $175K | +11.4% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 001106) | $316K | $380K | +20.1% | |
| Doña Ana-Hill | $239K | $280K | +17.1% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 001203) | $276K | $323K | +16.9% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 001209) | $343K | $400K | +16.6% | |
| South Doña Ana | $228K | $265K | +16.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Cruces · 88001 · (Tract 7) | $157K | $175K | $90K | |
| Sunland Park | $110K | $124K | $62K | |
| Anthony (Tract 001807) | $101K | $114K | $59K | |
| Anthony (Tract 001814) | $101K | $106K | $56K | |
| Hatch | $97K | $110K | $55K | |
| Chaparral | $90K | $92K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.