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Sandoval, NM · ZIP 87144 · Census Tract 35043010702 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$335K
Downside (P10)
$294K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$357K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$490K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $198K | $203K | $219K | $201K | $224K | $224K | $242K | $271K | $287K | $329K | $335K | $346K | $350K | $357K | $341K |
| YoY Change | +2.5% | +7.8% | -8.2% | +11.3% | +0.2% | +7.9% | +11.8% | +6.0% | +14.6% | +2.1% | +3.1% | +1.2% | +2.0% | -4.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $295K | $296K | $294K | $303K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $392K | $458K | $490K | $381K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$295K to $392K
28.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$303K to $381K
22.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Rancho · 87144 · (Tract 107.2) | $331K | $357K | +7.8% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010725) | $326K | $379K | +16.2% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010724) | $353K | $399K | +13.1% | |
| Jemez-Zia | $330K | $349K | +5.8% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010714) | $363K | $382K | +5.1% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010722) | $340K | $346K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Rancho · 87144 · (Tract 107.2) | $331K | $357K | +7.8% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010725) | $326K | $379K | +16.2% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010730) | $458K | $529K | +15.4% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010724) | $353K | $399K | +13.1% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010731) | $378K | $424K | +11.9% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010712) | $196K | $218K | +11.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Rancho · 87144 · (Tract 107.2) | $331K | $357K | $196K | |
| Rio Rancho | $171K | $175K | $103K | |
| Jemez-Zia | $170K | $186K | $91K | |
| Santo Domingo-San Felipe | $156K | $172K | $87K | |
| Cuba (Tract 010900) | $130K | $135K | $77K | |
| Cuba (Tract 940900) | $55K | $60K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.