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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Santa Fe, NM · ZIP 87505 · Census Tract 35049000600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$734K
Downside (P10)
$639K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$826K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.08M
+48% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $492K | $489K | $543K | $578K | $559K | $597K | $599K | $638K | $634K | $700K | $734K | $754K | $780K | $826K |
| YoY Change | -0.4% | +11.0% | +6.5% | -3.3% | +6.7% | +0.3% | +6.6% | -0.6% | +10.5% | +4.8% | +2.7% | +3.5% | +5.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $646K | $644K | $639K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $883K | $969K | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$646K to $883K
31.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$639K to $1.08M
53.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe | $719K | $826K | +14.8% | |
| Santa Fe (Tract 000201) | $753K | $851K | +12.9% | |
| Santa Fe South (Tract 010701) | $653K | $735K | +12.6% | |
| Santa Fe (Tract 000103) | $825K | $929K | +12.6% | |
| Santa Fe (Tract 001001) | $793K | $861K | +8.6% | |
| Santa Fe South (Tract 010304) | $684K | $725K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe | $719K | $826K | +14.8% | |
| Santa Fe | $427K | $506K | +18.5% | |
| Santa Fe South (Tract 010310) | $229K | $265K | +16.2% | |
| Santa Fe North (Tract 010102) | $272K | $312K | +14.9% | |
| Santa Fe North (Tract 010204) | $1.13M | $1.28M | +13.7% | |
| Santa Fe South (Tract 010309) | $504K | $571K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe | $719K | $826K | $445K | |
| Santa Fe South | $301K | $309K | $145K | |
| Santa Fe (Tract 001107) | $368K | $396K | $133K | |
| Santa Fe (Tract 001203) | $232K | $248K | $123K | |
| Santa Fe North | $184K | $202K | $117K | |
| Santa Fe (Tract 001205) | $172K | $187K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.