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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 32385, NV · Census Tract 32385002005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$673K
Downside (P10)
$357K
-47% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$693K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.26M
+88% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -47% to +88%. The model forecasts this with 28% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $673K | $709K | $646K | $648K | $693K |
| YoY Change | +5.4% | -8.8% | +0.3% | +7.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $448K | $379K | $335K | $357K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.3M |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$448K to $1.03M
82.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$357K to $1.26M
130.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002005 | $673K | $693K | +3.0% | |
| Tract 005280 | $671K | $805K | +20.0% | |
| Tract 001556 | $686K | $798K | +16.3% | |
| Tract 005387 | $674K | $743K | +10.3% | |
| Tract 001608 | $653K | $718K | +10.0% | |
| Tract 005345 | $675K | $740K | +9.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002005 | $673K | $693K | +3.0% | |
| Tract 000502 | $392K | $488K | +24.6% | |
| Tract 005280 | $671K | $805K | +20.0% | |
| Tract 001556 | $686K | $798K | +16.3% | |
| Tract 005484 | $566K | $643K | +13.6% | |
| Tract 001200 | $575K | $649K | +12.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002005 | $673K | $693K | $907K | |
| Tract 005581 | $573K | $623K | $697K | |
| Tract 005387 | $674K | $743K | $690K | |
| Tract 005484 | $566K | $643K | $668K | |
| Tract 005808 | $590K | $632K | $583K | |
| Tract 000502 | $392K | $488K | $422K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources