County 32385, NV · Census Tract 32385005400 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$589K
Downside (P10)
$344K
-42% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$635K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.17M
+100% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -42% to +100%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 32385 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $589K | $625K | $613K | $598K | $635K |
| YoY Change | +6.2% | -2.0% | -2.4% | +6.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $440K | $347K | $341K | $344K | |
| Upside (P90) | $847K | $953K | $1.0M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$482K to $780K
50.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$344K to $1.17M
130.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005808 | $590K | $632K | +7.1% |
| Tract 002157 | $591K | $626K | +5.9% |
| Tract 000706 | $593K | $613K | +3.3% |
| Tract 001200 | $575K | $649K | +12.8% |
| Tract 005581 | $573K | $623K | +8.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000502 | $392K | $488K | +24.6% |
| Tract 005280 | $671K | $805K | +20.0% |
| Tract 001556 | $686K | $798K | +16.3% |
| Tract 005484 | $566K | $643K | +13.6% |
| Tract 001200 | $575K | $649K | +12.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000502 | $392K | $488K | $422K |
| Tract 005808 | $590K | $632K | $583K |
| Tract 005484 | $566K | $643K | $668K |
| Tract 005387 | $674K | $743K | $690K |
| Tract 005581 | $573K | $623K | $697K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources