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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 32390, NV · Census Tract 32390002061 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$349K
Downside (P10)
$308K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$462K
+32% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$724K
+107% by 2030
Base case: +32% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +107%. The model forecasts this with 50% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $349K | $388K | $401K | $424K | $462K |
| YoY Change | +11.0% | +3.5% | +5.7% | +8.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $311K | $296K | $293K | $308K | |
| Upside (P90) | $503K | $559K | $657K | $724K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$311K to $503K
49.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$308K to $724K
90.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002061 | $349K | $462K | +32.2% | |
| Tract 001622 | $350K | $499K | +42.6% | |
| Tract 000348 | $351K | $497K | +41.6% | |
| Tract 001460 | $348K | $488K | +40.1% | |
| Tract 000160 | $352K | $490K | +39.4% | |
| Tract 002100 | $347K | $460K | +32.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002061 | $349K | $462K | +32.2% | |
| Tract 001101 | $353K | $542K | +53.3% | |
| Tract 001606 | $355K | $537K | +51.0% | |
| Tract 002689 | $352K | $521K | +48.1% | |
| Tract 001745 | $337K | $495K | +46.6% | |
| Tract 002540 | $346K | $504K | +45.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002061 | $349K | $462K | $416K | |
| Tract 001101 | $353K | $542K | $391K | |
| Tract 001347 | $338K | $478K | $390K | |
| Tract 001460 | $348K | $488K | $386K | |
| Tract 001680 | $358K | $497K | $383K | |
| Tract 000128 | $345K | $463K | $379K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources