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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 32421, NV · Census Tract 32421001122 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$404K
Downside (P10)
$292K
-28% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$489K
+21% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$874K
+117% by 2030
Base case: +21% by 2030, with a forecast range from -28% to +117%. The model forecasts this with 34% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $404K | $445K | $438K | $452K | $489K |
| YoY Change | +10.3% | -1.7% | +3.3% | +8.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $307K | $297K | $271K | $292K | |
| Upside (P90) | $648K | $715K | $812K | $874K |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$307K to $648K
76.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$292K to $874K
119.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001122 | $404K | $489K | +21.1% | |
| Tract 001708 | $401K | $508K | +26.7% | |
| Tract 000026 | $418K | $505K | +20.7% | |
| Tract 001724 | $406K | $489K | +20.4% | |
| Tract 000505 | $414K | $487K | +17.6% | |
| Tract 001685 | $395K | $455K | +15.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001122 | $404K | $489K | +21.1% | |
| Tract 000165 | $368K | $496K | +34.6% | |
| Tract 000246 | $357K | $461K | +29.0% | |
| Tract 000123 | $355K | $456K | +28.3% | |
| Tract 000563 | $363K | $463K | +27.5% | |
| Tract 001708 | $401K | $508K | +26.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001122 | $404K | $489K | $583K | |
| Tract 000385 | $357K | $451K | $459K | |
| Tract 001342 | $363K | $445K | $459K | |
| Tract 001423 | $373K | $468K | $446K | |
| Tract 001724 | $406K | $489K | $443K | |
| Tract 001180 | $377K | $418K | $384K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources