County 32431, NV · Census Tract 32431502828 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$774K
Downside (P10)
$390K
-50% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$778K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.33M
+72% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -50% to +72%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 32431 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $774K | $776K | $736K | $719K | $778K |
| YoY Change | +0.3% | -5.1% | -2.3% | +8.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $475K | $402K | $369K | $390K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$540K to $1.02M
61.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$390K to $1.33M
120.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 502307 | $783K | $719K | -8.1% |
| Tract 502462 | $745K | $716K | -4.0% |
| Tract 502200 | $806K | $791K | -1.9% |
| Tract 502585 | $741K | $609K | -17.7% |
| Tract 502365 | $727K | $634K | -12.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 304000 | $2.13M | $3.08M | +44.8% |
| Tract 304327 | $1.96M | $2.80M | +42.7% |
| Tract 303962 | $2.21M | $3.11M | +40.9% |
| Tract 303823 | $1.99M | $2.77M | +39.0% |
| Tract 304741 | $3.45M | $4.74M | +37.4% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources