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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 32280, NV · Census Tract 32280160000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$186K
Downside (P10)
$152K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$271K
+45% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$419K
+125% by 2030
Base case: +45% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +125%. The model forecasts this with 46% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $186K | $227K | $239K | $241K | $271K |
| YoY Change | +21.8% | +5.5% | +0.9% | +12.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $165K | $159K | $153K | $152K | |
| Upside (P90) | $313K | $328K | $388K | $419K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$165K to $313K
65.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$152K to $419K
98.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160000 | $186K | $271K | +45.4% | |
| Tract 320002 | $180K | $282K | +57.2% | |
| Tract 600007 | $182K | $268K | +47.3% | |
| Tract 440005 | $181K | $267K | +47.0% | |
| Tract 560008 | $186K | $267K | +44.0% | |
| Tract 240001 | $185K | $265K | +43.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160000 | $186K | $271K | +45.4% | |
| Tract 320002 | $180K | $282K | +57.2% | |
| Tract 920004 | $194K | $302K | +55.8% | |
| Tract 800001 | $195K | $295K | +51.6% | |
| Tract 600007 | $182K | $268K | +47.3% | |
| Tract 440005 | $181K | $267K | +47.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160000 | $186K | $271K | $267K | |
| Tract 240001 | $185K | $265K | $275K | |
| Tract 560008 | $186K | $267K | $267K | |
| Tract 440005 | $181K | $267K | $259K | |
| Tract 320002 | $180K | $282K | $255K | |
| Tract 600007 | $182K | $268K | $233K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources