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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 32880, NV · Census Tract 32880840005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$242K
Downside (P10)
$226K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$346K
+43% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$520K
+115% by 2030
Base case: +43% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +115%. The model forecasts this with 53% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $242K | $298K | $306K | $315K | $346K |
| YoY Change | +23.0% | +2.7% | +2.8% | +9.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $227K | $214K | $213K | $226K | |
| Upside (P90) | $395K | $430K | $456K | $520K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$227K to $395K
56.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$226K to $520K
85.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840005 | $242K | $346K | +42.6% | |
| Tract 120000 | $231K | $345K | +49.3% | |
| Tract 080001 | $231K | $345K | +49.2% | |
| Tract 680003 | $238K | $353K | +48.1% | |
| Tract 280005 | $226K | $326K | +44.1% | |
| Tract 400005 | $279K | $367K | +31.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840005 | $242K | $346K | +42.6% | |
| Tract 200001 | $164K | $259K | +57.3% | |
| Tract 120000 | $231K | $345K | +49.3% | |
| Tract 080001 | $231K | $345K | +49.2% | |
| Tract 680003 | $238K | $353K | +48.1% | |
| Tract 280005 | $226K | $326K | +44.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840005 | $242K | $346K | $294K | |
| Tract 080001 | $231K | $345K | $324K | |
| Tract 680003 | $238K | $353K | $314K | |
| Tract 120000 | $231K | $345K | $308K | |
| Tract 400005 | $279K | $367K | $298K | |
| Tract 200001 | $164K | $259K | $277K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources