What is the home price forecast for Parcel 32003005116 in Henderson · 89014 · (Tract 51.16)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $468,697 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 32003005116 in Henderson · 89014 · (Tract 51.16)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $468,697 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.9%.

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Parcel 32003005116 (Henderson) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 32003005116, Henderson · 89014 · (Tract 51.16) Home Price Forecast

Las Vegas, NV · ZIP 89014 · Census Tract 32003005116 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$469K

Downside (P10)

$422K

-10% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$487K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$634K

+35% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$323K	$341K	$412K	$440K	$453K	$469K	$467K	$479K	$487K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$145,897	-$127,997	-$56,897	-$28,797	-$15,797		-$1,775	+$10,242	+$18,383
Growth % vs 2026	-31.1%	-27.3%	-12.1%	-6.1%	-3.4%		-0.4%	+2.2%	+3.9%
Downside (P10)							$399K	$406K	$422K
Upside (P90)							$541K	$591K	$634K

Forecast Confidence

76%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$399K to $541K

30.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$422K to $634K

43.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.9% · Spread: 44%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 32003005116, Henderson · 89014 · (Tract 51.16) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).