What is the home price forecast for Parcel 32003005873 in Las Vegas · 89138 · (Tract 58.73)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $774,310 currently, with a 5-year expected change of -0.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 32003005873 in Las Vegas · 89138 · (Tract 58.73)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $774,310 currently, with a 5-year expected change of -0.3%.

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Parcel 32003005873 (Las Vegas) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 32003005873, Las Vegas · 89138 · (Tract 58.73) Home Price Forecast

Las Vegas, NV · ZIP 89138 · Census Tract 32003005873 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$774K

Downside (P10)

$632K

-18% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$772K

-0% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.04M

+34% by 2030

Base case: -0% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$570K	$592K	$730K	$730K	$762K	$774K	$785K	$782K	$772K	$800K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$204,310	-$182,210	-$44,610	-$44,310	-$12,010		+$11,181	+$7,733	-$2,296	+$25,696
Growth % vs 2026	-26.4%	-23.5%	-5.8%	-5.7%	-1.6%		+1.4%	+1.0%	-0.3%	+3.3%
Downside (P10)							$655K	$655K	$632K	$712K
Upside (P90)							$903K	$964K	$1.0M	$899K

Forecast Confidence

87%

High Confidence

The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.

Near-term band

$655K to $903K

31.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$712K to $899K

23.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.3% · Spread: 23%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 32003005873, Las Vegas · 89138 · (Tract 58.73) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).