Las Vegas, NV · ZIP 89052 · Census Tract 32003002853 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$436K
Downside (P10)
$342K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$481K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$608K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +40%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Las Vegas markets.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $276K | $285K | $349K | $359K | $424K | $436K | $435K | $452K | $481K | $442K |
| YoY Change | +3.2% | +22.4% | +2.8% | +18.2% | +2.8% | -0.0% | +3.9% | +6.2% | -8.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $307K | $325K | $342K | $389K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $526K | $559K | $608K | $501K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$307K to $526K
50.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$389K to $501K
25.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas | $427K | $481K | +12.5% | |
| Spring Valley | $436K | $481K | +10.5% | |
| Las Vegas | $436K | $469K | +7.7% | |
| Enterprise | $435K | $477K | +9.6% | |
| Sunrise Manor | $435K | $483K | +11.1% | |
| Enterprise | $435K | $508K | +16.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas | $427K | $481K | +12.5% | |
| Winchester | $219K | $268K | +22.2% | |
| Enterprise | $699K | $852K | +21.9% | |
| Las Vegas | $749K | $910K | +21.5% | |
| Enterprise | $374K | $453K | +21.1% | |
| North Las Vegas | $390K | $472K | +21.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas | $427K | $481K | $266K | |
| Paradise | $57K | $64K | $40K | |
| Spring Valley | $98K | $106K | $56K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.