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Nye, NV · ZIP 89048 · Census Tract 32023960405 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$283K
Downside (P10)
$238K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$298K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$406K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $82K | $80K | $93K | $120K | $148K | $152K | $183K | $252K | $270K | $285K | $283K | $284K | $298K | $298K |
| YoY Change | -3.0% | +16.6% | +29.6% | +22.7% | +2.8% | +20.5% | +37.6% | +7.4% | +5.4% | -0.6% | +0.3% | +5.0% | -0.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $257K | $249K | $238K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $350K | $383K | $406K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$257K to $350K
32.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$238K to $406K
56.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pahrump · 89048 · (Tract 9604.5) | $282K | $298K | +5.6% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960415) | $246K | $274K | +11.2% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960407) | $270K | $287K | +6.3% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960412) | $304K | $321K | +5.7% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960411) | $293K | $308K | +5.2% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960416) | $264K | $274K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pahrump · 89048 · (Tract 9604.5) | $282K | $298K | +5.6% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960415) | $246K | $274K | +11.2% | |
| Ralston Valley | $143K | $157K | +9.8% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960414) | $226K | $243K | +7.6% | |
| Beatty | $98K | $105K | +7.2% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960410) | $341K | $364K | +6.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pahrump · 89048 · (Tract 9604.5) | $282K | $298K | $168K | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960414) | $226K | $243K | $150K | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960413) | $213K | $211K | $111K | |
| Ralston Valley | $143K | $157K | $95K | |
| Beatty | $98K | $105K | $60K | |
| Round Mountain area | $113K | $116K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.