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Allegany, NY · ZIP 14880 · Census Tract 36003950700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$103K
Downside (P10)
$86K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$109K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$142K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $70K | $71K | $75K | $76K | $76K | $82K | $79K | $96K | $98K | $99K | $103K | $107K | $109K | $109K |
| YoY Change | +2.4% | +4.9% | +1.2% | +0.9% | +7.3% | -4.3% | +21.8% | +2.0% | +1.7% | +4.2% | +3.3% | +1.8% | +0.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $92K | $90K | $86K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $122K | $132K | $142K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$92K to $122K
27.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$86K to $142K
51.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scio area | $101K | $109K | +8.8% | |
| Belfast area (Tract 950402) | $107K | $125K | +16.9% | |
| Allen area | $101K | $113K | +12.1% | |
| Belfast area (Tract 951301) | $97K | $107K | +9.9% | |
| Andover area | $101K | $110K | +9.6% | |
| Cuba area | $99K | $106K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scio area | $101K | $109K | +8.8% | |
| West Almond area | $152K | $187K | +22.8% | |
| Belfast area | $107K | $125K | +16.9% | |
| Willing area | $87K | $101K | +16.5% | |
| Bolivar area | $84K | $96K | +15.0% | |
| Almond area | $121K | $137K | +13.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scio area | $101K | $109K | $56K | |
| Bolivar area | $84K | $96K | $53K | |
| Amity area | $91K | $94K | $52K | |
| Genesee area | $96K | $106K | $48K | |
| Cuba area | $99K | $106K | $46K | |
| Willing area | $87K | $101K | $45K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.