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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Bronx, NY · ZIP 10462 · Census Tract 36005023200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$723K
Downside (P10)
$651K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$797K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.15M
+60% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +60%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $426K | $429K | $451K | $451K | $476K | $538K | $556K | $609K | $629K | $715K | $723K | $742K | $766K | $797K |
| YoY Change | +0.8% | +5.1% | +0.1% | +5.4% | +13.0% | +3.4% | +9.4% | +3.4% | +13.7% | +1.1% | +2.6% | +3.3% | +3.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $663K | $667K | $651K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $846K | $934K | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$663K to $846K
24.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$651K to $1.15M
63.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $728K | $797K | +9.5% | |
| New York (Tract 007200) | $727K | $817K | +12.5% | |
| New York (Tract 016200) | $721K | $785K | +8.9% | |
| New York (Tract 043000) | $723K | $787K | +8.9% | |
| New York (Tract 039000) | $726K | $773K | +6.4% | |
| New York (Tract 034800) | $722K | $754K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $728K | $797K | +9.5% | |
| New York (Tract 021800) | $786K | $961K | +22.4% | |
| New York (Tract 011502) | $637K | $762K | +19.6% | |
| New York (Tract 000400) | $564K | $667K | +18.2% | |
| New York (Tract 024800) | $902K | $1.06M | +17.7% | |
| New York (Tract 037800) | $502K | $590K | +17.6% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.