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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Bronx, NY · ZIP 10460 · Census Tract 36005015700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$633K
Downside (P10)
$510K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$681K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.00M
+58% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $405K | $453K | $458K | $467K | $450K | $473K | $537K | $619K | $641K | $622K | $633K | $640K | $660K | $681K |
| YoY Change | +11.7% | +1.1% | +2.0% | -3.7% | +5.0% | +13.5% | +15.3% | +3.5% | -2.8% | +1.7% | +1.1% | +3.0% | +3.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $559K | $518K | $510K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $790K | $910K | $1.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$559K to $790K
36.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$510K to $1.00M
72.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $629K | $681K | +8.2% | |
| New York (Tract 011502) | $637K | $762K | +19.6% | |
| New York (Tract 042600) | $637K | $713K | +11.9% | |
| New York (Tract 007000) | $631K | $692K | +9.7% | |
| New York (Tract 008600) | $633K | $681K | +7.7% | |
| New York (Tract 008400) | $635K | $674K | +6.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $629K | $681K | +8.2% | |
| New York (Tract 021800) | $786K | $961K | +22.4% | |
| New York (Tract 011502) | $637K | $762K | +19.6% | |
| New York (Tract 000400) | $564K | $667K | +18.2% | |
| New York (Tract 024800) | $902K | $1.06M | +17.7% | |
| New York (Tract 037800) | $502K | $590K | +17.6% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.