Brooklyn, NY · ZIP 11235 · Census Tract 36047062200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$570K
Downside (P10)
$450K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$634K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$943K
+65% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +65%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Brooklyn markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $481K | $450K | $401K | $429K | $390K | $436K | $531K | $587K | $621K | $549K | $570K | $598K | $604K | $634K |
| YoY Change | -6.4% | -11.0% | +7.1% | -9.0% | +11.6% | +21.8% | +10.6% | +5.9% | -11.6% | +3.8% | +5.0% | +1.0% | +4.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $488K | $492K | $450K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $717K | $815K | $943K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$488K to $717K
38.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$450K to $943K
77.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton Beach · 11235 · (Tract 622) | $563K | $634K | +12.5% | |
| Crown Heights | $570K | $636K | +11.5% | |
| Starrett City | $570K | $620K | +8.8% | |
| East New York | $573K | $608K | +6.0% | |
| East New York | $566K | $617K | +9.0% | |
| Flatbush | $575K | $666K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton Beach · 11235 · (Tract 622) | $563K | $634K | +12.5% | |
| New York | $1.22M | $1.48M | +21.3% | |
| Ocean Hill | $1.06M | $1.28M | +20.8% | |
| Bushwick | $1.55M | $1.85M | +19.5% | |
| Williamsburg | $638K | $761K | +19.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton Beach · 11235 · (Tract 622) | $563K | $634K | $493K | |
| East New York | $118K | $132K | $65K | |
| Coney Island | $220K | $239K | $126K | |
| Sunset Park | $228K | $256K | $154K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.