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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Brooklyn, NY · ZIP 11203 · Census Tract 36047081400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$817K
Downside (P10)
$735K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$891K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.13M
+38% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $419K | $453K | $450K | $494K | $519K | $542K | $584K | $686K | $719K | $811K | $817K | $844K | $863K | $891K |
| YoY Change | +8.1% | -0.9% | +9.9% | +5.1% | +4.4% | +7.8% | +17.3% | +4.9% | +12.8% | +0.7% | +3.3% | +2.2% | +3.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $737K | $722K | $735K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $987K | $1.0M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$737K to $987K
29.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$735K to $1.13M
43.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $826K | $891K | +8.0% | |
| New York (Tract 028000) | $817K | $945K | +15.6% | |
| New York (Tract 117400) | $820K | $939K | +14.5% | |
| New York (Tract 068200) | $820K | $881K | +7.5% | |
| New York (Tract 095400) | $820K | $872K | +6.4% | |
| New York (Tract 094600) | $817K | $865K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $826K | $891K | +8.0% | |
| New York (Tract 055700) | $1.22M | $1.48M | +21.3% | |
| New York (Tract 035900) | $1.06M | $1.28M | +20.8% | |
| New York (Tract 044300) | $1.55M | $1.85M | +19.5% | |
| New York (Tract 049100) | $638K | $761K | +19.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $826K | $891K | $390K | |
| New York (Tract 007000) | $228K | $256K | $154K | |
| New York (Tract 035000) | $220K | $239K | $126K | |
| New York (Tract 115200) | $118K | $132K | $65K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.