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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Brooklyn, NY · ZIP 11203 · Census Tract 36047085400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$684K
Downside (P10)
$555K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$723K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.16M
+70% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +70%. The model forecasts this with 54% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $411K | $436K | $442K | $465K | $496K | $544K | $566K | $611K | $642K | $661K | $684K | $697K | $703K | $723K |
| YoY Change | +5.9% | +1.4% | +5.1% | +6.8% | +9.6% | +4.1% | +7.8% | +5.1% | +3.0% | +3.5% | +2.0% | +0.9% | +2.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $575K | $592K | $555K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $897K | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$575K to $897K
46.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$555K to $1.16M
84.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $669K | $723K | +8.1% | |
| New York (Tract 073200) | $681K | $801K | +17.6% | |
| New York (Tract 060800) | $680K | $761K | +11.9% | |
| New York (Tract 100800) | $687K | $765K | +11.4% | |
| New York (Tract 038900) | $680K | $727K | +6.8% | |
| New York (Tract 019400) | $687K | $728K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $669K | $723K | +8.1% | |
| New York (Tract 055700) | $1.22M | $1.48M | +21.3% | |
| New York (Tract 035900) | $1.06M | $1.28M | +20.8% | |
| New York (Tract 044300) | $1.55M | $1.85M | +19.5% | |
| New York (Tract 049100) | $638K | $761K | +19.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $669K | $723K | $608K | |
| New York (Tract 007000) | $228K | $256K | $154K | |
| New York (Tract 035000) | $220K | $239K | $126K | |
| New York (Tract 115200) | $118K | $132K | $65K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.