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Brooklyn, NY · ZIP 11228 · Census Tract 36047019000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.05M
Downside (P10)
$907K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.16M
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.44M
+37% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $780K | $733K | $853K | $874K | $913K | $924K | $890K | $847K | $849K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$274,941 | -$321,541 | -$201,641 | -$180,841 | -$141,041 | -$130,041 | -$164,241 | -$207,341 | -$205,241 | -$12,741 | +$35,883 | +$73,145 | +$109,673 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -26.1% | -30.5% | -19.1% | -17.2% | -13.4% | -12.3% | -15.6% | -19.7% | -19.5% | -1.2% | +3.4% | +6.9% | +10.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $897K | $914K | $907K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.4M | $1.4M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$897K to $1.2M
29.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$907K to $1.4M
46.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $1.05M | $1.16M | +11.3% | |
| New York (Tract 019100) | $1.06M | $1.22M | +14.7% | |
| New York (Tract 006600) | $1.03M | $1.15M | +12.3% | |
| New York (Tract 010000) | $1.07M | $1.19M | +10.9% | |
| New York (Tract 001501) | $1.03M | $1.11M | +8.5% | |
| New York (Tract 017400) | $1.05M | $1.05M | -0.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $1.05M | $1.16M | +11.3% | |
| New York (Tract 007500) | $1.59M | $1.89M | +19.2% | |
| New York (Tract 005400) | $671K | $798K | +19.0% | |
| New York (Tract 011000) | $1.10M | $1.30M | +17.9% | |
| New York (Tract 006700) | $1.68M | $1.97M | +17.6% | |
| New York (Tract 014101) | $1.89M | $2.22M | +17.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $1.05M | $1.16M | $537K | |
| New York (Tract 003400) | $709K | $800K | $335K | |
| New York (Tract 005202) | $494K | $563K | $329K | |
| New York (Tract 003600) | $496K | $582K | $312K | |
| New York (Tract 002300) | $358K | $388K | $196K | |
| New York (Tract 007000) | $228K | $256K | $154K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Brooklyn, NY · ZIP 11228 · Census Tract 36047019000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.05M
Downside (P10)
$907K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.16M
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.44M
+37% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $780K | $733K | $853K | $874K | $913K | $924K | $890K | $847K | $849K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$274,941 | -$321,541 | -$201,641 | -$180,841 | -$141,041 | -$130,041 | -$164,241 | -$207,341 | -$205,241 | -$12,741 | +$35,883 | +$73,145 | +$109,673 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -26.1% | -30.5% | -19.1% | -17.2% | -13.4% | -12.3% | -15.6% | -19.7% | -19.5% | -1.2% | +3.4% | +6.9% | +10.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $897K | $914K | $907K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.4M | $1.4M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$897K to $1.2M
29.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$907K to $1.4M
46.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $1.05M | $1.16M | +11.3% | |
| New York (Tract 019100) | $1.06M | $1.22M | +14.7% | |
| New York (Tract 006600) | $1.03M | $1.15M | +12.3% | |
| New York (Tract 010000) | $1.07M | $1.19M | +10.9% | |
| New York (Tract 001501) | $1.03M | $1.11M | +8.5% | |
| New York (Tract 017400) | $1.05M | $1.05M | -0.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $1.05M | $1.16M | +11.3% | |
| New York (Tract 007500) | $1.59M | $1.89M | +19.2% | |
| New York (Tract 005400) | $671K | $798K | +19.0% | |
| New York (Tract 011000) | $1.10M | $1.30M | +17.9% | |
| New York (Tract 006700) | $1.68M | $1.97M | +17.6% | |
| New York (Tract 014101) | $1.89M | $2.22M | +17.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $1.05M | $1.16M | $537K | |
| New York (Tract 003400) | $709K | $800K | $335K | |
| New York (Tract 005202) | $494K | $563K | $329K | |
| New York (Tract 003600) | $496K | $582K | $312K | |
| New York (Tract 002300) | $358K | $388K | $196K | |
| New York (Tract 007000) | $228K | $256K | $154K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.