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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Brooklyn, NY · ZIP 11236 · Census Tract 36047100600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$798K
Downside (P10)
$674K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$833K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.17M
+46% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $463K | $472K | $494K | $498K | $519K | $586K | $589K | $632K | $665K | $772K | $798K | $819K | $818K | $833K |
| YoY Change | +2.0% | +4.6% | +0.8% | +4.3% | +12.8% | +0.5% | +7.3% | +5.2% | +16.1% | +3.4% | +2.6% | -0.1% | +1.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $696K | $702K | $674K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$696K to $1.01M
38.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$674K to $1.17M
59.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $777K | $833K | +7.2% | |
| New York (Tract 069800) | $801K | $877K | +9.5% | |
| New York (Tract 119200) | $798K | $873K | +9.3% | |
| New York (Tract 087200) | $795K | $867K | +9.0% | |
| New York (Tract 053200) | $799K | $840K | +5.2% | |
| New York (Tract 036300) | $795K | $836K | +5.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $777K | $833K | +7.2% | |
| New York (Tract 055700) | $1.22M | $1.48M | +21.3% | |
| New York (Tract 035900) | $1.06M | $1.28M | +20.8% | |
| New York (Tract 044300) | $1.55M | $1.85M | +19.5% | |
| New York (Tract 049100) | $638K | $761K | +19.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $777K | $833K | $492K | |
| New York (Tract 007000) | $228K | $256K | $154K | |
| New York (Tract 035000) | $220K | $239K | $126K | |
| New York (Tract 115200) | $118K | $132K | $65K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.