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Cattaraugus, NY · ZIP 14042 · Census Tract 36009960200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$92K
Downside (P10)
$75K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$98K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$133K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $82K | $83K | $91K | $91K | $94K | $83K | $83K | $91K | $94K | $89K | $92K | $94K | $97K | $98K |
| YoY Change | +1.5% | +8.9% | +0.2% | +3.7% | -12.2% | -0.1% | +9.8% | +3.1% | -5.1% | +3.6% | +1.9% | +3.8% | +0.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $78K | $77K | $75K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $109K | $119K | $133K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$78K to $109K
33.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$75K to $133K
58.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yorkshire area | $89K | $98K | +10.0% | |
| Olean | $93K | $106K | +14.0% | |
| Allegany | $94K | $102K | +9.3% | |
| Red House area | $103K | $111K | +8.6% | |
| Portville area | $103K | $111K | +7.5% | |
| Leon area | $99K | $102K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yorkshire area | $89K | $98K | +10.0% | |
| Olean (Tract 961600) | $79K | $91K | +15.8% | |
| Napoli area | $121K | $139K | +15.4% | |
| Olean (Tract 961500) | $93K | $106K | +14.0% | |
| Ellicottville | $293K | $329K | +12.4% | |
| Olean (Tract 961800) | $105K | $117K | +11.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yorkshire area | $89K | $98K | $58K | |
| Allegany | $94K | $102K | $53K | |
| Olean (Tract 961500) | $93K | $106K | $51K | |
| Olean (Tract 961700) | $74K | $80K | $50K | |
| Olean (Tract 961600) | $79K | $91K | $49K | |
| Olean (Tract 961800) | $105K | $117K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.