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Chenango, NY · ZIP 13730 · Census Tract 36017970902 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$141K
Downside (P10)
$116K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$153K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$215K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $99K | $100K | $110K | $118K | $141K | $141K | $145K | $151K | $153K |
| YoY Change | +1.5% | +10.0% | +6.5% | +19.6% | +0.6% | +2.4% | +4.4% | +1.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $117K | $117K | $116K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $171K | $185K | $215K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$117K to $171K
36.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$116K to $215K
64.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry area | $143K | $153K | +7.0% | |
| Sherburne area | $129K | $147K | +13.8% | |
| Columbus area | $154K | $175K | +13.7% | |
| Norwich | $142K | $157K | +10.9% | |
| Norwich area | $144K | $157K | +8.6% | |
| McDonough area | $150K | $154K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry area | $143K | $153K | +7.0% | |
| Otselic area | $113K | $129K | +14.1% | |
| Greene area | $173K | $197K | +13.9% | |
| Sherburne area | $129K | $147K | +13.8% | |
| Columbus area | $154K | $175K | +13.7% | |
| Greene | $177K | $200K | +13.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry area | $143K | $153K | $99K | |
| Guilford area (Tract 970602) | $121K | $130K | $71K | |
| Pharsalia area | $122K | $133K | $68K | |
| Norwich | $112K | $123K | $59K | |
| Guilford area (Tract 970801) | $115K | $129K | $59K | |
| Smyrna area | $116K | $130K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.