County 36248, NY · Census Tract 36248600003 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$492K
Downside (P10)
$480K
-2% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$725K
+47% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.02M
+107% by 2030
Base case: +47% by 2030, with a forecast range from -2% to +107%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 36248 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $492K | $546K | $600K | $649K | $725K |
| YoY Change | +10.9% | +9.9% | +8.1% | +11.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $443K | $435K | $455K | $480K | |
| Upside (P90) | $700K | $830K | $900K | $1.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$435K to $584K
30.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$480K to $1.02M
74.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 720006 | $497K | $615K | +23.7% |
| Tract 240007 | $476K | $694K | +45.9% |
| Tract 760008 | $456K | $625K | +37.0% |
| Tract 400009 | $451K | $581K | +28.9% |
| Tract 160006 | $432K | $594K | +37.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 040003 | $423K | $627K | +48.1% |
| Tract 000001 | $429K | $634K | +47.6% |
| Tract 240007 | $476K | $694K | +45.9% |
| Tract 480003 | $375K | $541K | +44.4% |
| Tract 160006 | $432K | $594K | +37.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480003 | $375K | $541K | $421K |
| Tract 000001 | $429K | $634K | $433K |
| Tract 160006 | $432K | $594K | $481K |
| Tract 400009 | $451K | $581K | $515K |
| Tract 240007 | $476K | $694K | $549K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources