Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Cattaraugus, NY · Census Tract 36009560007 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$718K
Downside (P10)
$750K
+4% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.05M
+46% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.45M
+101% by 2030
Base case: +46% by 2030, with a forecast range from +4% to +101%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $718K | $850K | $884K | $947K | $1.0M |
| YoY Change | +18.3% | +4.0% | +7.2% | +10.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $723K | $704K | $727K | $750K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$723K to $1.02M
34.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$750K to $1.45M
66.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allegany area | $718K | $1.05M | +46.2% | |
| Sterling area | $752K | $905K | +20.3% | |
| Tract 680006 | $735K | $864K | +17.5% | |
| Tract 280008 | $737K | $844K | +14.5% | |
| Tract 400007 | $751K | $810K | +7.8% | |
| Tract 920009 | $738K | $786K | +6.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allegany area | $718K | $1.05M | +46.2% | |
| Wawarsing area | $425K | $664K | +56.2% | |
| Tract 600001 | $430K | $658K | +53.0% | |
| Windsor area | $465K | $710K | +52.8% | |
| Johnsburg area | $459K | $694K | +51.1% | |
| Tract 280000 | $313K | $472K | +50.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allegany area | $718K | $1.05M | $697K | |
| Johnsburg area | $406K | $568K | $411K | |
| Tract 080005 | $410K | $570K | $400K | |
| Tract 160005 | $396K | $574K | $399K | |
| Bronx area | $392K | $489K | $376K | |
| Tract 000009 | $316K | $417K | $355K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources