County 36760, NY · Census Tract 36760681005 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$613K
Downside (P10)
$242K
-60% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$571K
-7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.10M
+79% by 2030
Base case: -7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -60% to +79%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 36760 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $613K | $641K | $578K | $561K | $571K |
| YoY Change | +4.6% | -9.7% | -3.1% | +1.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $361K | $280K | $260K | $242K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $985K | $999K | $1.1M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$463K to $844K
62.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$242K to $1.10M
149.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200004 | $637K | $663K | +4.1% |
| Tract 360009 | $645K | $795K | +23.3% |
| Tract 680006 | $536K | $566K | +5.6% |
| Tract 960001 | $348K | $400K | +15.0% |
| Tract 280105 | $321K | $474K | +48.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280105 | $321K | $474K | +48.0% |
| Tract 960108 | $309K | $435K | +40.9% |
| Tract 360009 | $645K | $795K | +23.3% |
| Tract 120100 | $1.55M | $1.87M | +20.6% |
| Tract 960001 | $348K | $400K | +15.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280105 | $321K | $474K | $323K |
| Tract 960108 | $309K | $435K | $418K |
| Tract 960001 | $348K | $400K | $540K |
| Tract 920009 | $1.31M | $1.27M | $666K |
| Tract 680006 | $536K | $566K | $811K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources